Yes, it's still a drought (was: We are very much in a drought)

No change from the last time I looked.  Still in a "severe" drought.


yahooyahoo said:

No change from the last time I looked.  Still in a "severe" drought.

The calculation is from the day before the rainfall, so there's that


Drought update, Sept 2, 2022

Both Severe and Moderate Drought areas have expanded significantly this week (compare to 8/18 image below, the 8/25 map was very similar to the 8/18) as rainfall continues to under perform historic levels.

The NWS reports: "Drought persisted or expanded across much of the Northeast. Vermont, New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland and Virginia saw increases in moderate (D1) drought areas where continued rainfall deficits, combined with warm weather, dried out soils and reduced streamflow. Severe (D2) drought expanded in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Jersey where 30-day rainfall totals are 3 to 4 inches below normal, and 90-day totals are 6 to 9 inches below normal."


...and Hurricane Danielle is already headed off to Europe.  If invest DB91 does become Earl (this is the one we thought might become Danielle) it will still be very unlikely to rain on the continental USA.  Right now the global models are in pretty good agreement that we won't see more than an inch of rain over the next ten days.


At this time I can't get excited over this. As the graph from the NJ draught watch of 2000 to present shows.

https://www.drought.gov/states/new-jersey


It is still a drought. I can't say that I'd like to have you get excited about such a thing but I do hope you can help conserve water like so many of us are doing. 


And tomorrow's problem will be flooding, caused by heavy rain?


Formerlyjerseyjack said:

And tomorrow's problem will be flooding, caused by heavy rain?

Caused by heavy rain and soil that's hard as a rock.


Formerlyjerseyjack said:

And tomorrow's problem will be flooding, caused by heavy rain?

Yep, flood watch. We can't win.

ps - big thanks to all of you who watered your lawns. You've reduced flooding when you stopped your soil from becoming rock hard.  smile


Zooming out a bit, nationwide it's been a bit of a bipolar summer precipitationwise

Mapping this summer’s extreme divide in rain and drought (WaPo)


Love that global warming.


RTrent said:

At this time I can't get excited over this. As the graph from the NJ draught watch of 2000 to present shows.

https://www.drought.gov/states/new-jersey

This hasn't been the worst drought since 2000, but I don't recall my lawn being as dry or brown in the past.


yahooyahoo said:

This hasn't been the worst drought since 2000, but I don't recall my lawn being as dry or brown in the past.

My back lawn is not watered. To me, it also seems driest ever. The good news is that I been able to skip cutting it.


Things have improved significantly but parts of Essex County are still in a moderate drought.  Maplewood and South Orange are still abnormally dry.


While we (SOMA) are back to almost normal, I will direct your attention to California.

The Central Valley in California is in the midst of an extreme drought.  Roughly 1/4 of the nation's food is produced there.  This will cause food prices, especially produce, to increase further.


yahooyahoo said:

While we (SOMA) are back to almost normal, I will direct your attention to California.

The Central Valley in California is in the midst of an extreme drought.  Roughly 1/4 of the nation's food is produced there.  This will cause food prices, especially produce, to increase further.

Wow! You are so right about food prices. Prepare for some “ouch” at the supermarket this winter. 


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